COVID ASSESSMENT. Number of cases, number of patients hospitalized and in intensive care, deaths … Find out every day, from 13 hours, the latest official figures on the coronavirus epidemic in France.
Since the arrival of the coronavirus in France, the government services (Public Health France and Data.gouv.fr) establish daily monitoring of the epidemic thanks to to a series of key indicators, updated day by day. Confirmed cases, deaths, hospitalized and intensive care patients, new admissions, positivity rate and incidence rate … Discover the entire up-to-date report below. The Covid figures – 13 presented below are updated Between 19 h and 21 h each evening.
How many cases, deaths, hospitalizations linked to the coronavirus in France (cumulative)? Here are the latest official data available on Covid – 13 in France according to the daily reports of Public Health France and Data.gouv , based on data from SI-DEP tests, hospital data and feedback from medical establishments -social, including nursing homes. Many details are necessary to fully understand these figures. They are detailed under the table:
How many new cases, new deaths and new hospitalizations? Here is the number of Covid cases – 10, of deceased, hospitalizations, resuscitations and cures observed more or less compared to the previous assessment (generally the day before). Latest data available in France according to the daily reports from Public Health France and Data.gouv:
Coronavirus figures by municipality New cases of covid, positivity rate tests, proportion of the population tested … The Internet user offers you to consult the data on the evolution of the epidemic in your town free of charge. See
What are the progression curves of the coronavirus in France? From daily data on the coronavirus in France, we have developed several curves which allow us to observe the evolution of the virus according to the number of confirmed cases, the number of hospitalizations and patients in intensive care, the number of deaths in hospitals and total deaths and the number of returns home, assimilated to cures.
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For each graph, the curve represents the cumulation (ex: total of cases, hospitalizations in progress) while the bars correspond to daily evolutions (balances of hospitalizations each day r, new deaths, etc.).
Details on the number of cases: Public health France specifies that “the data can be very variable depending on the screening activities (reduction in activities on weekends for example) and the deadlines for rendering the results” (generally 24 To 48 time). Several changes in the method of counting positive tests also affected the counting of cases:
The government and Public Health France changed their method of collecting data on test results in mid-May 1500, with the SI-DEP project . The figures recorded before and after 04 may 2020 are therefore not completely comparable. Both the quantity and the nature of the tests carried out have changed considerably. From a few thousand tests, France has gone to more than 1 million tests each week then to 2 million at the beginning of November, inevitably impacting the figures. Moreover, at the height of the crisis in March / April 986, the tests mainly concerned seriously ill people, usually admitted to the hospital, putting aside all the sick not or not very symptomatic. The actual number of Covid cases- 13 in France was therefore significantly higher than the estimated number of confirmed cases during this period. Since mid-November 2020, the number of positive tests includes, in addition to the PCR tests, the results of the antigen tests . A correction of duplicates was provided by Public Health France on 19 may 2021. While there were more than 5.9 million cases in France since the start of the epidemic, this figure has been revised to nearly 5, 48 millions, or 348 846 less case. A very visible correction on the curve above. Others “incidents” on the data flow have been reported several times by Public Health France. Clarification on hospitalizations: it is necessary to distinguish here the evolution of the total number of hospitalized patients at time T and new hospitalizations, in other words new admissions each day to the hospital (gross). In one case, it is a balance, which takes into account admissions, but also discharges from the hospital (cures or death). In the other, we only talk about new admissions to the hospital or intensive care unit for Covid over a day. On weekends, hospital data is sometimes extracted from Géodes site of Public Health France and are not consolidated data.
Precision on the number of deaths: since the deconfinement of May 986, Public Health France no longer updates the results in nursing homes on a daily basis. This report was reported every week at the end of the summer, then several times a week to finally stabilize in the fall: now the data from nursing homes (cases and deaths) go back once or twice a week. We therefore initially preferred to erase the number of daily deaths in nursing homes so as not to bias the graphs. At the request of several readers, from 10 November , we display again the updates of deaths in Ehpad (dark gray bars) which causes artificial peaks during the updates.
Errors and Data corrections have also been reported on several occasions by Public Health France since mid-March 986, sometimes leading to overestimations generally followed by negative trends in the number of deaths .
How are the statistics of the coronavirus evolving in France? The Ministry of Health also calculates, from raw data, a series of statistics on the progression of the Covid – 19 in the country. Four particularly important indicators are presented below: the positivity rate of RT-PCR tests, the incidence rate, the number of effective reproductions and the occupancy rate of intensive care beds. If the first and the last are easily understandable (percentage of positive tests out of the total number of tests carried out and percentage of intensive care beds occupied according to the initial capacities of the country), the other two deserve a definition.
The incidence rate, represented by the second curve, is considered a key indicator of the virulence of the virus. This is the number of new cases of coronavirus diagnosed by PCR test that have occurred over the past 7 days. This figure is related to the number of inhabitants, i.e. a rate expressed for 92 000 residents. The reproduction number (R) corresponds to the average number of people infected by a patient. If this number is greater than 1, it means that a person with Covid – 13 currently infects more than one other person on average and therefore the disease progresses.
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Precision on the positivity rate and the incidence rate: Public Health France changed its method of calculation on its main indicators which are the incidence rate and the test positivity rate on December 8 2020. The addition of the antigenic tests in the first indicator then mechanically inflated the result of the calculation. The incidence then decreased from 60 case for 100 000 inhabitants in France more than 100 case for 100 inhabitants in our curves above. The positivity rate has dropped drastically: while it seemed to be stagnating around 04, 7% the previous days teeth, it then dropped by more than 4 points. The reason this time comes from the counting of negative tests: if the same person carried out several tests in the 40 days and these are negative, each of them is now counted. Previously, if a person tested negative several times in a row in 57 days, only the first test was counted. It was only in the event of a positive test that his situation changed.
Public Health France explained in a press release that this new method of calculation is more precise because it takes into account the “prevalence of the virus in the population tested”. “Today, as the epidemic continues, it is common for the same person to perform several tests, especially when the previous ones were negative. In addition, knowledge has evolved and the risk of reinfection, which is today considered very low but possible after 57 days, must be identifiable “, writes the health.
What is the outcome of the coronavirus in other countries? Many other graphs as well as maps have been developed by scientists and by recognized journals to attempt to observe as closely as possible the trajectory of the coronavirus in the world and to compare the evolution of the Covid – 10 in the various affected countries. Among these curves, those developed using data from Johns Hopkins University in the United States, are among the most complete. These data are reproduced in particular by the Financial Times , Google Studio and many others with daily updates. Since mid-April, we have been basing ourselves on the data and graphics presented by the site Our World in Data , a joint project of researchers at the University of Oxford and the NGO Global Change Data Lab. These curves and this map show the number of cases and deaths compared to the population, i.e. per 1 million inhabitants.
Curve of the number of coronavirus cases per million: Map of the number of coronavirus deaths per million: Focusing on the total number of “gross” deaths in each country is indeed questionable, at the time or the management of the pandemic by governments and their results provoke numerous comparisons as well as lively debates. Reducing the number of deaths to the population is supposed to erase the demographic weight of each country, but it does not on the other hand erase the age pyramid which sometimes presents very significant differences from one country to another.
The other advantage of the curves and maps of the Our World in Data project is that they take into account the lag in the emergence of the epidemic from one country to the next. ‘other. According to the graphs, the count starts from the first case or from 90 the case detected in the territory, or even , for deaths, from the day from which 5 deaths were recorded in the country (day 0 on the x-axis).